Forget the Models - Look out the window

The rain is just now reaching the Birmingham metro area. The rain should be just about gone around noon. Which looks good for the tailgating party and the football game today at Legion field. The top regional view is at 6:26 am and the bottom is 6:14 am.



This is the infrared image at 5:45 am this morning. As you can see the clouds are already moving out of Memphis, so this afternoon the sky will be clearing.

18z Models for 3A Championship game

Leeds v. Cordova 3A championship football game tomorrow at Legion Field continues to look wetter with every model run. The 18z (12 noon today) run looks wetter than the 12z (6 am) run. Not only are the model runs wetter but they are also slower in the passage of the rain. If I was going to the game tomorrow, which I wish I was, I would have rain gear not only for the tailgate party but for the entire game. Remember, no umbrellas allowed inside the stadium.

This is the WRF simulated radar for 3:00 pm tomorrow - Kickoff


This is the WRF simulated radar for 6:00 pm - Final Whistle - sure looks wet!

Alabama 3A Football Championship looks wetter

The 12z run of the GFS model is in...it is looking wetter and wetter.
Here is a quick look at 12 noon tomorrow. TAKE THE RAIN GEAR

Leeds v. Cordova Class 3A Championship Weather

NAM Model Simulated Radar NOON Thursday



It could be wet for kickoff
The models continue to slow down the passage of the rain for Thursday. I still think kickoff temps will be 50-52 and by the finale whistle they will be in the mid 40's. The wind during the game will be out of the NE shifting to the N as the game progresses at 5-10 mph with minimal gusts of 15 mph. The sky will remain overcast for the entire game. The BIG question is the RAIN!!!

Rain Forecast
As the models continue to slow down the passage, I do believe that at kickoff there could be some light rain. But by halftime the rain should be gone. The possibility exists that the rain will be gone by kickoff. Even if it does rain during the game it will not be a hard rain, everything will be light.

NAM model NOON Thursday



GFS Model NOON Thursday


NAM Model Simulated Radar at 6:00 pm - Final Whistle


Closing thoughts

Rain gear looks to be a must for the tailgating party which begins at noon. Hopefully most if not all the rain will be gone by kickoff.

Final score prediction Leeds 24 Cordova 17

Class 3A Weather Forecast

Leeds will be taking on Cordova Thursday at Legion Field. Game time is 3:00 pm. Tailgating begins around noon.

The weather will be overcast, temp at kickoff will be 52 and falling to 45 by the final whistle. Winds will be out of the NE changing to NW at 10-12 mph. The rain that morning will be gone by kickoff. Make sure you take a coat and it wouldn't hurt to have rain gear for the tailgating party. The models over the last few days seem to be slowing down the passage of the front just a tad. Below are a few graphics for game day.

The graphic below is for 6:00am Thursday. The dying cold front is passing the Birmingham metro area.


This image is for noon - about the time tailgating begins. The light rain turns to drizzle as the dying front moves through. The NAM model is a little slower but drier.


This is the picture for 6:00 pm - about the final whistle. The rain has moved out and the temperature is falling after sunset. Temp's for the drive home will be in the mid to low 40's.

Leeds v. Cordova Weather Forecast

Just took a quick look at the latest model runs. The NAM model is a little slower than the GFS moving the rain through the area, but it still looks like the main rain will be off to the SE by kickoff. May need to bump kickoff temp up a little - something like upper 40's. The 18z model set will be in later today and will post graphics with updated thoughts.